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Red109
958612.4
180742.2
582228.7
Blue87
86231.6
600234.5
263825.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839620406012014016010987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.22.0
39.641.6
Auto11.1
Teleop28.2
End2.9
red by 7.7
6002
#20
34.50.1
30.130.3
Auto11.6
Teleop17.3
End5.6
Second
5822
#55
28.72.0
30.332.3
Auto11.0
Teleop15.5
End2.2
blue by 2.9
862
#39
31.60.1
26.426.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
Third
9586
#66
12.42.0
7.09.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
blue by 12.7
2638
#65
25.10.1
28.528.7
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsEarned