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Red116
54832.9
86837.3
548431.4
Blue76
414334.3
124126.9
42428.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989970809011012013011676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#19
37.31.8
34.135.9
Auto16.1
Teleop18.2
End3.0
red by 2.9
4143
#28
34.30.8
37.636.8
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End3.0
Second
548
#16
32.91.8
26.828.6
Auto11.9
Teleop18.0
End2.9
red by 4.7
424
#67
28.20.8
26.525.7
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End0.4
Third
5484
#50
31.41.8
28.630.3
Auto10.3
Teleop21.2
End-0.1
red by 4.4
1241
#41
26.90.8
24.323.4
Auto7.8
Teleop17.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned41%Ensemble oddsMissed