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Red80
881710.7
46134.6
346424.7
Blue81
301818.4
248621.1
32424.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8671204060801001208081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#29
34.60.4
39.439.0
Auto11.4
Teleop21.1
End2.1
red by 10.1
324
#57
24.50.4
26.026.3
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End0.2
Second
3464
#69
24.70.4
23.823.4
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 3.7
2486
#46
21.10.4
19.920.2
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End0.9
Third
8817
#73
10.70.4
12.512.2
Auto6.1
Teleop3.3
End1.2
blue by 7.7
3018
#53
18.40.4
19.820.1
Auto9.7
Teleop4.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed