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Red132
98745.0
511216.3
129627.6
Blue119
205653.6
128526.3
357238.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8713250100150200132119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#5
45.02.6
41.043.5
Auto12.4
Teleop26.4
End6.1
blue by 8.7
53.60.0
53.553.5
Auto16.9
Teleop32.6
End4.2
Second
1296
#56
27.62.6
28.631.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 10.4
3572
#15
38.10.0
34.734.7
Auto14.3
Teleop20.8
End3.0
Third
5112
#64
16.32.6
14.016.6
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End0.4
blue by 10.0
1285
#24
26.30.0
26.026.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsEarned91%Ensemble oddsEarned