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Red81
115331.4
946213.8
67032.5
Blue128
157739.3
192337.0
246840.1
4%Model gave it96%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801365010015020081128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#38
32.50.1
31.631.7
Auto7.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
blue by 7.6
2468
#25
40.10.6
41.942.5
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End3.1
Second
1153
#30
31.40.1
33.233.3
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
blue by 7.9
1577
#31
39.30.6
38.238.9
Auto12.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
Third
9462
#72
13.80.1
14.314.5
Auto6.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
blue by 23.2
1923
#13
37.00.6
36.637.3
Auto8.6
Teleop23.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsEarned