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Red138
212238.1
86231.6
931234.8
Blue111
53924.6
300554.9
465521.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031096080120140138111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#14
38.12.9
36.239.1
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End5.9
blue by 16.8
54.90.5
51.652.1
Auto16.0
Teleop34.8
End4.2
Second
9312
#51
34.82.9
31.334.3
Auto10.4
Teleop22.6
End1.7
red by 10.2
539
#62
24.60.5
25.225.6
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End2.6
Third
862
#39
31.62.9
26.529.4
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
red by 10.2
4655
#34
21.40.5
21.121.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned81%Ensemble oddsMissed