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Red83
17640.8
282624.3
945014.1
Blue140
180742.2
608135.4
87636.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801385010015020083140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#21
40.80.4
41.340.9
Auto14.2
Teleop24.7
End1.9
blue by 1.4
42.20.5
41.642.1
Auto11.1
Teleop28.2
End2.9
Second
2826
#54
24.30.4
23.823.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
blue by 12.3
876
#23
36.50.5
37.938.4
Auto10.3
Teleop22.8
End3.4
Third
9450
#68
14.10.4
14.013.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End1.9
blue by 21.3
6081
#18
35.40.5
38.539.0
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned71%Ensemble oddsEarned