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Red85
54832.9
346424.7
582228.7
Blue65
541430.8
511429.6
947820.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921014060801201401601808565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#16
32.90.0
28.628.6
Auto11.9
Teleop18.0
End2.9
red by 2.1
5414
#44
30.81.7
31.429.7
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End0.6
Second
5822
#55
28.70.0
32.332.4
Auto11.0
Teleop15.5
End2.2
blue by 0.9
5114
#49
29.61.7
36.634.9
Auto13.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Third
3464
#69
24.70.0
23.423.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 4.1
9478
#74
20.71.7
22.721.0
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed