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Red71
124126.9
958612.4
969222.8
Blue116
412226.6
456121.6
24532.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5788020408010012014016071116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#41
26.90.4
23.423.0
Auto7.8
Teleop17.3
End1.8
blue by 5.5
245
#61
32.42.2
30.732.9
Auto10.5
Teleop19.6
End2.3
Second
9692
#47
22.80.4
21.821.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
blue by 3.8
4122
#45
26.62.2
24.726.9
Auto8.7
Teleop17.3
End0.6
Third
9586
#66
12.40.4
10.29.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
blue by 9.3
4561
#59
21.62.2
20.823.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed