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Red93
157739.3
82935.4
409618.7
Blue106
346748.0
528520.6
128526.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021065015020093106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#31
39.31.0
38.937.9
Auto12.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
blue by 8.6
48.00.1
49.749.8
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End3.3
Second
829
#17
35.41.0
34.733.7
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 9.1
1285
#24
26.30.1
26.026.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Third
4096
#71
18.71.0
19.018.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End1.6
blue by 1.9
5285
#52
20.60.1
19.319.4
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsMissed