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Red101
212238.1
490732.4
465521.4
Blue100
248621.1
98745.0
271428.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10798050150200250300101100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#14
38.10.0
39.139.2
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End5.9
blue by 6.8
987
#5
45.00.7
43.544.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.4
End6.1
Second
4907
#27
32.40.0
34.734.7
Auto14.5
Teleop13.0
End4.9
red by 4.3
2714
#48
28.10.7
25.726.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End1.8
Third
4655
#34
21.40.0
21.621.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
red by 0.3
2486
#46
21.10.7
20.220.9
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
86%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsEarned