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Red90
173237.8
608135.4
53924.6
Blue81
192337.0
154033.9
68068.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117830501001502009081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#32
37.80.8
37.536.7
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End5.1
red by 0.8
1923
#13
37.00.0
37.337.2
Auto8.6
Teleop23.8
End4.7
Second
6081
#18
35.40.8
39.038.2
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0
red by 1.5
1540
#43
33.90.0
31.631.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.6
Third
539
#62
24.60.8
25.624.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End2.6
red by 16.0
6806
#75
8.60.0
10.610.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsMissed