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Red134
67032.5
931234.8
368343.9
Blue81
548431.4
392828.3
332233.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125955015020013481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.3
43.444.7
Auto13.6
Teleop26.7
End3.6
red by 10.2
3322
#36
33.70.8
33.432.6
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End3.7
Second
9312
#51
34.81.3
34.335.6
Auto10.4
Teleop22.6
End1.7
red by 3.4
5484
#50
31.40.8
30.329.5
Auto10.3
Teleop21.2
End-0.1
Third
670
#38
32.51.3
31.733.0
Auto7.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
red by 4.2
3928
#40
28.30.8
25.424.6
Auto11.0
Teleop14.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed