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Red132
360436.7
300554.9
102334.0
Blue110
585128.8
180742.2
940835.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711780100160180200220132110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.6
52.152.6
Auto16.0
Teleop34.8
End4.2
red by 12.7
42.20.1
42.142.2
Auto11.1
Teleop28.2
End2.9
Second
3604
#12
36.70.6
34.435.0
Auto12.0
Teleop22.1
End2.5
red by 1.5
9408
#37
35.20.1
38.738.8
Auto9.0
Teleop23.1
End3.2
Third
34.00.6
35.135.7
Auto10.2
Teleop19.5
End4.3
red by 5.2
5851
#58
28.80.1
27.627.7
Auto7.6
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
83%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed