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Red114
600234.5
192337.0
233729.0
Blue92
82935.4
412226.6
346424.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106912040608012014016018011492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#13
37.01.3
37.238.6
Auto8.6
Teleop23.8
End4.7
red by 1.6
829
#17
35.40.5
33.734.2
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
6002
#20
34.51.3
30.732.0
Auto11.6
Teleop17.3
End5.6
red by 7.9
4122
#45
26.60.5
26.927.4
Auto8.7
Teleop17.3
End0.6
Third
2337
#26
29.01.3
26.027.4
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End2.1
red by 4.3
3464
#69
24.70.5
23.524.0
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
79%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsMissed