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Red75
32424.5
97132.7
24532.4
Blue82
67032.5
940835.2
945014.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104934060801201401601807582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#10
32.71.2
33.732.5
Auto14.3
Teleop15.4
End3.0
blue by 2.4
9408
#37
35.20.4
38.838.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.1
End3.2
Second
245
#61
32.41.2
32.931.7
Auto10.5
Teleop19.6
End2.3
blue by 0.1
670
#38
32.50.4
33.032.6
Auto7.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
Third
324
#57
24.51.2
26.124.9
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End0.2
red by 10.5
9450
#68
14.10.4
13.613.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed