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Red79
129627.6
881710.7
368343.9
Blue115
465521.4
17734.8
595141.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921105015079115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.4
44.744.3
Auto13.6
Teleop26.7
End3.6
red by 2.7
41.20.4
41.541.9
Auto13.3
Teleop24.3
End3.6
Second
1296
#56
27.60.4
28.828.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 7.1
177
#11
34.80.4
34.434.8
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.6
Third
8817
#73
10.70.4
12.111.7
Auto6.1
Teleop3.3
End1.2
blue by 10.7
4655
#34
21.40.4
21.622.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned74%Ensemble oddsEarned