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Red103
600234.5
947820.7
42428.2
Blue126
357238.1
233729.0
614735.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82109050100150103126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#20
34.51.7
32.033.7
Auto11.6
Teleop17.3
End5.6
blue by 3.6
3572
#15
38.12.0
35.537.5
Auto14.3
Teleop20.8
End3.0
Second
424
#67
28.21.7
26.828.5
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End0.4
blue by 7.6
6147
#22
35.72.0
32.734.7
Auto11.2
Teleop16.1
End8.5
Third
9478
#74
20.71.7
18.620.3
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End2.6
blue by 8.4
2337
#26
29.02.0
27.429.4
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed68%Ensemble oddsEarned