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Red149
17640.8
511216.3
300554.9
Blue117
17734.8
541430.8
167642.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125122100110130140150149117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.2
55.255.4
Auto16.0
Teleop34.8
End4.2
red by 12.6
42.30.1
43.343.2
Auto11.4
Teleop24.0
End7.0
Second
176
#21
40.80.2
41.141.3
Auto14.2
Teleop24.7
End1.9
red by 6.0
177
#11
34.80.1
35.835.7
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.6
Third
5112
#64
16.30.2
16.616.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End0.4
blue by 14.5
5414
#44
30.80.1
31.831.7
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End0.6