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Red117
368343.9
346748.0
129627.6
Blue109
595141.2
940835.2
192337.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134129100120140160117109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.3
48.248.0
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End3.3
red by 6.7
41.20.3
42.542.2
Auto13.3
Teleop24.3
End3.6
Second
43.90.3
44.243.9
Auto13.6
Teleop26.7
End3.6
red by 6.9
1923
#13
37.00.3
38.338.0
Auto8.6
Teleop23.8
End4.7
Third
1296
#56
27.60.3
27.927.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 7.5
9408
#37
35.20.3
36.536.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.1
End3.2