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Red127
154033.9
414334.3
97132.7
Blue133
360436.7
180742.2
357238.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10613150150200127133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#28
34.30.6
33.734.3
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End3.0
blue by 7.9
42.20.4
41.942.3
Auto11.1
Teleop28.2
End2.9
Second
1540
#43
33.90.6
33.333.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.6
blue by 4.2
3572
#15
38.10.4
37.738.1
Auto14.3
Teleop20.8
End3.0
Third
971
#10
32.70.6
32.132.7
Auto14.3
Teleop15.4
End3.0
blue by 3.9
3604
#12
36.70.4
36.336.7
Auto12.0
Teleop22.1
End2.5