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Red169
157739.3
205653.6
98745.0
Blue123
608135.4
246840.1
86837.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15412250100200169123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.7
52.853.5
Auto16.9
Teleop32.6
End4.2
red by 13.6
2468
#25
40.10.1
40.840.8
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End3.1
Second
987
#5
45.00.7
44.144.8
Auto12.4
Teleop26.4
End6.1
red by 7.7
868
#19
37.30.1
37.437.3
Auto16.1
Teleop18.2
End3.0
Third
1577
#31
39.30.7
38.539.2
Auto12.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
red by 3.9
6081
#18
35.40.1
36.136.0
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0