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Red153
17640.8
511216.3
300554.9
Blue143
346748.0
46134.6
368343.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123142050100200250300350153143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.8
55.456.2
Auto16.0
Teleop34.8
End4.2
red by 7.0
48.00.2
48.048.2
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End3.3
Second
176
#21
40.80.8
41.342.1
Auto14.2
Teleop24.7
End1.9
blue by 3.1
43.90.2
43.944.1
Auto13.6
Teleop26.7
End3.6
Third
5112
#64
16.30.8
16.817.5
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End0.4
blue by 18.3
461
#29
34.60.2
34.634.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.1
End2.1