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Red116
102334.0
246840.1
608135.4
Blue109
595141.2
192337.0
940835.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12512590100110120130140150160116109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#25
40.10.3
40.840.4
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End3.1
blue by 1.1
41.20.5
41.741.2
Auto13.3
Teleop24.3
End3.6
Second
6081
#18
35.40.3
36.035.7
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0
blue by 1.7
1923
#13
37.00.5
37.537.0
Auto8.6
Teleop23.8
End4.7
Third
34.00.3
34.734.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.5
End4.3
blue by 1.2
9408
#37
35.20.5
35.735.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.1
End3.2