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Qual 142024 Hawaii Regional
Red73
887111.0
36845.2
209012.5
Blue63
23486.4
427031.7
162226.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607302040801001201407363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#2
45.21.2
36.8→37.9
Auto18.3
Teleop21.8
End5.2
red by 13.5
4270
#5
31.70.4
33.8→33.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Second
2090
#9
12.51.9
12.9→14.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 13.9
1622
#8
26.30.4
21.3→20.9
Auto11.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Third
8871
#29
11.01.3
5.9→7.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.7
red by 4.6
2348
#33
6.40.7
9.6→8.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsEarned