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Red37
692010.9
243816.8
285314.0
Blue65
772410.4
670415.0
244331.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384701001502003765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#26
16.80.2
12.813.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 15.0
31.81.6
22.023.6
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End2.2
Second
2853
#10
14.00.2
10.811.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 1.0
6704
#15
15.02.6
13.215.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Third
6920
#28
10.90.2
11.912.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End0.7
red by 0.5
7724
#18
10.42.6
6.28.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed