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Red39
879010.9
388017.7
388116.6
Blue103
35950.5
388226.2
90127.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308802040608010012039103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#12
17.70.3
15.515.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 32.9
359
#1
50.50.7
45.446.1
Auto19.2
Teleop25.0
End6.3
Second
3881
#11
16.60.3
9.910.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
blue by 9.5
26.20.9
18.018.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Third
8790
#17
10.90.5
8.89.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
red by 3.6
9012
#24
7.31.1
9.710.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned