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Red70
246525.5
911419.1
28968.0
Blue11
86153.5
96295.4
30088.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531704060801007011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.6
21.022.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 17.1
3008
#21
8.40.6
6.66.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Second
19.11.6
13.314.9
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End0.6
red by 13.8
9629
#27
5.41.0
7.46.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Third
2896
#30
8.02.7
9.111.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.2
End1.4
red by 4.5
8615
#19
3.51.0
5.74.7
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed