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Red45
911419.1
90127.3
209012.5
Blue40
388226.2
887111.0
247711.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464002060801001201404540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.3
14.915.2
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End0.6
blue by 7.0
26.20.2
18.819.1
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Second
12.50.5
14.915.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
red by 1.1
2477
#32
11.40.3
11.011.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End0.1
Third
9012
#24
7.30.5
10.811.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 3.7
8871
#29
11.00.2
7.27.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed