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Red52
372118.7
244331.8
28968.0
Blue66
388017.7
162226.3
69099.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5652406070805266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
23.623.6
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End2.2
red by 5.5
26.31.2
20.922.1
Auto11.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Second
3721
#13
18.70.0
14.414.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 1.1
3880
#12
17.71.2
15.817.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Third
2896
#30
8.00.0
11.811.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.2
End1.4
blue by 1.4
6909
#14
9.42.1
10.512.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed