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Qual 232024 Hawaii Regional
Red49
30088.4
94949.2
246525.5
Blue9
96456.5
285314.0
772410.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43330206080100120499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2465
#4
25.50.6
22.7→23.3
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 11.4
2853
#10
14.02.5
11.0→8.5
Auto2.0
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Second
9494
#22
9.21.0
9.4→10.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 1.2
7724
#18
10.42.5
8.8→6.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End1.7
Third
3008
#21
8.40.6
6.0→6.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
red by 1.9
9645
#25
6.52.5
11.4→8.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed