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Red49
69099.4
8853-0.1
244331.8
Blue43
90193.5
209012.5
247711.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51300204060801004943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
25.525.5
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End2.2
red by 19.3
12.50.3
13.714.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Second
6909
#14
9.40.0
13.713.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 2.0
2477
#32
11.40.3
12.112.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End0.1
Third
8853
#31
-0.10.0
4.44.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop0.1
End-0.2
blue by 3.6
9019
#34
3.50.3
4.24.5
Auto0.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned