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Red23
285314.0
388017.7
23486.4
Blue53
911419.1
86153.5
244511.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452702060801002353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#12
17.71.0
19.218.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 1.4
19.11.7
14.716.4
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Second
2853
#10
14.01.7
10.18.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.4
End2.6
red by 3.1
2445
#16
11.02.9
10.813.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Third
2348
#33
6.41.7
9.07.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
red by 3.0
8615
#19
3.52.9
1.44.3
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed