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Red27
28968.0
23486.4
692010.9
Blue28
247711.4
94949.2
24418.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283601020405060702728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6920
#28
10.90.0
11.011.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End0.7
blue by 0.5
2477
#32
11.40.4
12.812.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End0.1
Second
2896
#30
8.00.0
9.19.2
Auto4.4
Teleop2.2
End1.4
blue by 1.2
9494
#22
9.20.4
8.78.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Third
2348
#33
6.40.0
6.36.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
blue by 2.2
2441
#20
8.60.4
10.410.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed