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Red70
244331.8
388226.2
90193.5
Blue23
8853-0.1
162226.3
372118.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585830405060707023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.2
27.328.5
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End2.2
red by 5.5
26.31.9
26.924.9
Auto11.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Second
26.21.2
22.023.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 7.4
3721
#13
18.72.8
20.517.7
Auto8.3
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Third
9019
#34
3.51.7
2.84.6
Auto0.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
red by 3.6
8853
#31
-0.12.8
4.82.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop0.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed