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Qual 522024 Hawaii Regional
Red48
209012.5
427031.7
244511.0
Blue53
246525.5
96295.4
879010.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644502040801001204853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#5
31.71.2
32.9→31.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.9
End5.0
red by 6.3
2465
#4
25.50.4
25.9→25.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Second
2090
#9
12.51.6
11.4→9.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
red by 1.5
8790
#17
10.90.5
11.0→10.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Third
2445
#16
11.01.6
11.7→10.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End1.2
red by 5.6
9629
#27
5.40.5
6.5→6.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed