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Red40
670415.0
96456.5
243816.8
Blue43
388017.7
28968.0
247711.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404402060801004043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#26
16.80.3
16.016.3
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 0.9
3880
#12
17.70.3
17.417.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Second
6704
#15
15.00.3
13.814.1
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.8
red by 3.6
2477
#32
11.40.4
12.412.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End0.1
Third
9645
#25
6.50.3
6.97.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End0.9
blue by 1.5
2896
#30
8.00.4
9.29.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed