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Red33
388116.6
90127.3
90193.5
Blue76
36845.2
30088.4
772410.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2562040801003376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#11
16.60.1
15.515.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
blue by 28.6
368
#2
45.21.6
41.543.2
Auto18.3
Teleop21.8
End5.2
Second
9012
#24
7.30.1
6.66.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 3.1
7724
#18
10.42.2
6.18.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End1.7
Third
9019
#34
3.50.1
4.64.7
Auto0.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 4.8
3008
#21
8.41.6
3.95.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed