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Red58
388226.2
372118.7
879010.9
Blue33
692010.9
24418.6
96456.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions612702040801001205833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.4
23.223.6
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 15.3
6920
#28
10.90.5
11.110.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Second
3721
#13
18.70.6
17.718.3
Auto8.3
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 10.1
2441
#20
8.60.5
10.09.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End1.5
Third
8790
#17
10.90.5
10.511.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
red by 4.4
9645
#25
6.50.4
7.26.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned