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Red45
162226.3
86153.5
388226.2
Blue50
23486.4
388116.6
772410.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662802040801001201401604550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.7
27.426.8
Auto11.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 9.7
3881
#11
16.60.8
15.616.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
Second
26.20.7
23.623.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 15.8
7724
#18
10.40.9
8.39.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End1.7
Third
8615
#19
3.50.8
3.72.9
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 3.0
2348
#33
6.40.9
5.86.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed