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Red67
36845.2
692010.9
90127.3
Blue104
69099.4
35950.5
246525.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639620408012014016067104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#2
45.20.3
43.243.5
Auto18.3
Teleop21.8
End5.2
blue by 5.3
359
#1
50.50.2
49.149.3
Auto19.2
Teleop25.0
End6.3
Second
6920
#28
10.90.4
10.611.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End0.7
blue by 14.6
25.50.2
25.525.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
9012
#24
7.30.4
6.77.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 2.1
6909
#14
9.40.2
8.18.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned