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Red95
69099.4
388226.2
246525.5
Blue20
243816.8
209012.5
86153.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69320204060801001209520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.7
25.326.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 9.4
2438
#26
16.80.3
17.116.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End2.6
Second
25.50.7
24.625.3
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 13.0
12.50.3
12.812.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Third
6909
#14
9.40.7
8.59.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
red by 5.9
8615
#19
3.50.3
3.83.5
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End1.5