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Red25
247711.4
911419.1
162226.3
Blue58
388116.6
670415.0
949813.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684502060801001201402558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.8
27.126.3
Auto11.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 9.7
3881
#11
16.60.1
16.316.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
Second
19.10.8
19.919.1
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End0.6
red by 4.1
6704
#15
15.00.1
14.714.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Third
2477
#32
11.40.8
12.211.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End0.1
blue by 1.8
9498
#23
13.20.1
12.812.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.8
End0.0