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Red101
90127.3
244331.8
427031.7
Blue79
246525.5
388226.2
69099.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78620204010012014010179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.7
31.231.9
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End2.2
red by 5.6
26.20.1
25.225.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Second
31.70.7
31.131.8
Auto7.8
Teleop18.9
End5.0
red by 6.3
25.50.1
24.524.6
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
9012
#24
7.30.7
6.77.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 2.1
6909
#14
9.40.1
8.48.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1