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Red82
69099.4
388226.2
246525.5
Blue55
388116.6
670415.0
949813.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70452060801001201408255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
26.026.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 9.5
3881
#11
16.60.2
16.416.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
Second
25.50.5
25.325.8
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 10.5
6704
#15
15.00.2
14.815.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Third
6909
#14
9.40.5
9.39.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 3.8
9498
#23
13.20.2
12.913.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.8
End0.0