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Red95
90127.3
244331.8
427031.7
Blue69
69099.4
246525.5
388226.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796702040601001201401609569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.4
31.632.0
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End2.2
red by 5.6
26.20.3
26.526.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Second
31.70.4
31.532.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.9
End5.0
red by 6.3
25.50.3
25.825.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
9012
#24
7.30.4
7.17.6
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 2.1
6909
#14
9.40.3
9.79.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1