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Red123
8839.4
589541.2
801341.7
Blue136
448142.4
907233.7
632853.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331430100200300400500123136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.0
41.441.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.0
End6.6
blue by 11.7
53.40.1
53.053.0
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
Second
5895
#12
41.20.0
40.941.0
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
blue by 1.2
4481
#14
42.40.1
42.042.0
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
Third
88
#24
39.40.0
39.139.2
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.1
red by 5.7
9072
#40
33.70.1
33.233.3
Auto11.7
Teleop21.9
End0.1