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Red157
632853.4
237031.1
448142.4
Blue146
68736.0
580935.9
204641.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401216080100160180200157146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.7
52.353.0
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
red by 11.7
41.80.8
41.041.8
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End4.3
Second
4481
#14
42.40.7
41.342.0
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
red by 6.4
687
#28
36.00.8
35.236.0
Auto12.4
Teleop23.5
End0.1
Third
2370
#38
31.10.7
30.531.1
Auto7.0
Teleop22.5
End1.6
blue by 4.8
5809
#42
35.90.8
35.235.9
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End1.6