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Red73
167123.3
945514.0
490929.9
Blue63
207920.0
661524.8
337410.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7955020401001201407363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#11
29.90.2
31.631.7
Auto12.5
Teleop14.1
End3.3
red by 5.0
6615
#73
24.80.7
25.326.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Second
1671
#36
23.30.2
24.324.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.0
red by 3.3
2079
#62
20.00.7
19.820.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End0.6
Third
9455
#61
14.00.2
12.412.6
Auto8.2
Teleop3.4
End2.4
red by 3.9
3374
#57
10.20.7
7.58.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed