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Red122
237031.1
45628.3
300634.7
Blue95
657421.3
94298.2
441449.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10279406012014016012295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3006
#18
34.71.5
33.034.5
Auto10.5
Teleop21.4
End2.8
blue by 14.9
49.51.4
48.249.6
Auto18.1
Teleop25.6
End5.9
Second
2370
#38
31.11.5
29.931.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.5
End1.6
red by 9.8
6574
#52
21.31.4
18.920.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Third
456
#22
28.31.5
27.028.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End2.6
red by 20.2
9429
#72
8.21.4
7.18.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned43%Ensemble oddsMissed